23 February 2016

State of Affairs: Western Conference

Let's look at what every Western Conference team is facing for the rest of the season**

I moved St. Louis and San Jose to the upper tier. I moved Florida down to b-level. Detroit, now on a 4 game losing streak, got moved down a level, as well. I almost moved Arizona down, but thought I should wait until they are clearly out of the playoffs.

To get the probable points, I just took the points percentage since mid-January and applied to the potential points for the remaining games. (I do adjust based on extremes)

Central
St Louis: 79pts. 8H 12A. 7a 3b 5c 5f - probable pts: 107/119
Dallas: 80pts. 13H 9A. 7a 3b 8c 4f - probable pts: 105/124
Chicago: 81pts. 10H 10A. 6a 4b 5c 5f - probable pts: 105/121

Pacific
Anaheim: 70pts. 12H 12A. 7a 2b 4c 11f - probable pts: 107/118
San Jose: 69pts. 15H 9A. 4a 3b 6c 11f - probable pts: 106/117
Los Angeles: 72pts. 15H 9A. 8a 3b 2c 11f - probable pts: 100/120

Wildcard
Nashville: 67pts. 11H 11A. 8a 1b 6c 7f - probable pts: 94/111
Minnesota: 64pts. 12H 11A. 6a 2b 6c 9f - probable pts: 91/110

Need to over-perform
Colorado: 66pts. 11H 9A. 7a 3b 6c 4f - probable pts: 89/106
Arizona: 60pts. 9H 14A. 9a 4b 5c 5f - probable pts: 83/106
Vancouver: 58pts. 13H 10A. 5a 8b 5c 8f - probable pts: 78/104
Calgary: 55pts. 11H 13A. 7a 4b 6c 7f - probable pts: 73/103

Hopeless:
Winnipeg: 54pts. 14H 10A. 9a 3b 5c 7f - probable pts: 74/102
Edmonton: 50pts. 11H 11A. 7a 2b 5c 8f - probable pts: 66/94

** Here are the way I rank the teams for the remaining games.
a - teams that have had multiple good win streaks in the season and are still playing at that caliber or close to it.
ANA,CHI,DAL,LA,SJS,STL,WSH
b - teams that have teased with greatness - having a win streak or more but have smaller loss streaks too.
BOS,FLA,MIN,NYI,NYR,TBL
c - teams that have beaten good teams and can't be just forgotten. Still in the playoff hunt.
ARZ,CAR,COL,DET,NSH,NJD,PIT,PHI
f - teams that just aren't good.
BUF,CGY,CBJ,EDM,MTL,OTT,TOR,VAN,WIN

No comments:

Post a Comment